Shanghai University
Article Information
- Cheng OUYANG, Min ZHU, Jiaqi MO
- A class of epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system
- Applied Mathematics and Mechanics (English Edition), 2017, 38(8): 1181-1190.
- http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10483-017-2228-9
Article History
- Received Dec. 7, 2016
- Revised Mar. 17, 2017
2. School of Mathematics and Computer Science, Anhui Normal University, Wuhu 241003, Anhui Province, China
Many results on the epidemic virus transmission have been studied by the dynamical analytic theory[1-7]. There is a model of nonlinear differential system for its basic physical phenomena. Thus, the solving method of the nonlinear epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system is an important field. From the solution, we need to research its behaviors.
The nonlinear differential system is a very attractive investigated subject[8-9]. Many approximate methods have been developed, such as the boundary layer method, the matched asymptotic method, and the multiple scales method. Many scholars have done a great deal of work[10-13]. The researchers also studied a class of ecological environment system, the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) transmission, the reaction diffusion system, and so on[14-24]. In this paper, using a special and valid functional homotopy analysis method[25-27], we study a class of epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system.
2 Epidemic virus transmission population dynamic systemThe following is a class of epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system[6-7]:
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(1) |
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(2) |
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(3) |
where x(t) and y(t) are the numbers of sufferer population and susceptible population in the broken area, respectively, t is the time, a, b, c, A, and B are constants, axy is the increased rate for sufferers, -bx is the decrement rate of death in Eq.(1), -axy is the decrement growth rate of susceptible population since taking the measure of epidemic prevention, -cx2y denotes the decrement rate of susceptible population since taking the measure of epidemic prevention, dx is the growth rate of infected population when they manifold in Eq.(2), and αf(x, y) and βg(x, y) are disturbed terms for the numbers of sufferer population and susceptible population, respectively.
Generally speaking, from the nonlinear epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system, we cannot find the exact solution by using the finite terms for the elementary functions. Thus, we use the homotopic mapping method and solve approximate analytic solutions for the epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system (1)-(3).
3 Functional homotopic mappingWe first introduce the functional mappings Hi [x, y, s] (i=1, 2) on
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(4) |
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(5) |
where s is a factitious parameter, and x and y are initial functions for the homotopic mappings. The linear operators Li (i=1, 2) are
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Obviously, from the homotopic mappings (4) and (5), Hi(x, y, 1)=0 (i=1, 2), and the epidemic virus transmission population dynamic systems (1) and (2) are the same. Thus, the solution (X(t, 1), Y(t, 1)) to Hi (x, y, s) =0(i=1, 2) as s→ 1 satisfying the condition (3) is the exact solution to the epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system (1)-(3).
Select the initial functions x and y which are the solutions to the following system:
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(6) |
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(7) |
with the initial condition (3).
It is easy to see that x and y are
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(8) |
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(9) |
The above x is denoted by Eq.(8).
Let
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(10) |
From the homotopic mappings (4) and (5), substituting Eq.(10) into Eqs.(4) and (5), developing the nonlinear terms in s, and equating the coefficients of the same power of s for Hi (x, y, s)=0(i=1, 2), from the coefficients in s0 for Hi (x, y, s)=0(i=1, 2), we have
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(11) |
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(12) |
Thus, the solutions to the system (11) and (12) are
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From Eqs.(8) and (9), we have
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(13) |
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(14) |
where x0 is denoted by Eq.(13).
Substituting Eq.(10) into Eqs.(4) and (5), from the coefficients in s1 for Hi (x, y, s)=0(i=1, 2), we have
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(15) |
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(16) |
The solutions (x1(t), y1(t)) to the system (15) and (16) with the zero initial condition are
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(17) |
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(18) |
Then, from Eqs.(10), (13), (14), (17), and (18) and taking s=1, we obtain the first approximate solution (X1 (t), Y1(t)) to the epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system (1)-(3),
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(19) |
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(20) |
where x0 and y0 are denoted by Eqs.(13) and (14), respectively.
Substituting Eq.(10) into Eqs.(4) and (5), from the coefficients in s2 for Hi (x, y, s)=0(i=1, 2), we have
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(21) |
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(22) |
The solutions (x2 (t), y2 (t)) to the system (21) and (22) with the zero initial condition (3) are
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(23) |
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(24) |
From Eqs.(19), (20), and (7) and taking s=1, we obtain the second approximate solution (X2 (t), Y2 (t)) to the epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system (1)-(3),
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(25) |
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(26) |
where (x0, y0) and (x1, y1) are denoted by Eqs.(13), (14), (17), and (18), respectively.
Using the same method, substituting Eq.(10) into the functional homotopic mapping Eqs.(4) and (5) and from the coefficients of si(i=3, 4, …) for Hi (x, y, s)=0(i=1, 2), we can obtain xi, yi (i=3, 4, …).
Thus, we can obtain the nth(n=1, 2, …) approximate solutions Xn (t), Yn (t)(n=1, 2, …) successively,
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where
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In order to show the accuracy of the approximate solutions, we compare with the special cases. For simplicity, we set
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where ε ≥ 0 is a small parameter, and take the non-dimensional functions
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and the constants
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The epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system is
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(27) |
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(28) |
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(29) |
Then, from Eq.(10), as c=0, we have
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(30) |
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(31) |
From Eqs.(30) and (31), we can obtain the first approximate solution (X1 (t), Y1 (t)) to the epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system (27)-(28) using the method of functional homotopic mapping,
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(32) |
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(33) |
where x0 and y0 are denoted by Eqs.(30) and (31), respectively.
As a reduced case from Eq.(32), we can illustrate the first-order approximate solution X1 (t) and the exact solution X(t) (see Fig. 1).
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Fig. 1 Curves of X(t) and X1 (t) |
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Similarly, from Eq.(33), we can obtain the first-order approximate solution Y1 (t) and the exact solution Y(t).
Using the functional fixed point theory of functional analysis, we can prove that[9, 27] from Eq.(10), the homotopic mapping solutions
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are uniformly convergent on t∈[0, T0], where T0 is a large enough constant. Thus, the nth(n=1, 2, …) order analytic solutions Xn (t), Yn (t)(n=1, 2, …) are approximate to the exact analytic solution X(t), Y(t) increasingly.
For example, as ε =0, 05, from Eqs.(32) and (33), we can obtain the first-order approximate analytic solution X1 (t) and the exact analytic solution X(t) (see Fig. 2).
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Fig. 2 Curves of X(t) and X1 (t) where ε =0.05 |
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Moreover, using the perturbation theory[8-9], the nth-order approximate analytic solution (Xn, Yn) to the epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system (27)-(29) has the following asymptotic behaviors:
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where (X, Y) is the exact analytic solution to the system (27)-(29).
Therefore, we can see that the approximate analytic solution to the virus transmission population dynamic system possesses good accuracy using the functional mapping method.
5 DiscussionWe can obtain the simulated curves for the approximate analytic solution and take measure to control the epidemic virus transmission population.
(ⅰ) Change the parameter a
For simplicity, taking the non-dimensional parameters b=c=d=A=B =1, ε =0.05, and the non-dimensional functions f=sin x, g=cos y, we compare the results with a=2 and a=3. Then, the curves of the first-order approximate analytic solution X1 can be seen in Fig. 3.
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Fig. 3 Curves of X1 (t) for different a |
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From Fig. 3, we can see that the first-order approximate analytic function X1 (t) of the sufferer population decreases with a=2 faster than that with a=3.
Similarly, we can see that the first-order approximate solution Y1 (t) of the sufferer population decreases with a=2, which is much faster than that with a=3.
(ⅱ) Change the parameter c
For example, taking the non-dimensional parameters a=2, b=d=A= B=1, ε =0.05, and the non-dimensional functions f=sin x, g=cos y, we compare the results with c=1 and c=10. Then, the curves of the first-order approximate analytic solution X1 can be seen in Fig. 4.
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Fig. 4 Curves of X1 (t) for different c |
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From Fig. 4, we can see that the first-order approximate analytic function X1 (t) of sufferer population decreases as c=1, which is nearly equal to that of c=10.
(ⅲ) Change the functions f(u, v) and g(u, v)
For example, taking the non-dimensional parameters a=2, b=c=d=A= B=1, ε =0.05, we compare the results with f=sin x, g=cos y and f=exp (-y), g=exp (-x). Then, the first-order approximate analytic solution X1 can be seen in Fig. 5.
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Fig. 5 Curves of X1(t) for different f and g |
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From Fig. 5, we can see that the first-order approximate analytic function X1 (t) of sufferer population decreases as f=sin x, g=cos y and f=exp(-y), g=exp(-x) and is steady (similarly, we can see that the first-order approximate analytic function Y1 (t) of sufferer population decreases as f=sin x, g=cos y and f=exp(-y), g=exp(-x) and is steady). However, due to complexity for the disturbed terms, the behaviors for the first-order approximate analytic function X1 (t) and Y1(t) have various changes.
Of course, it is better to use the higher-order approximate analytic solution to study the behavior of the epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system.
6 ConclusionsThe epidemic virus transmission is a complicated phenomenon. Hence, we need to reduce to the basic model and solve it using the approximate method. The functional homotopic mapping method is a simple and valid method.
The functional homotopic mapping is an approximate analytic method, which differs from the general numerical method. From the approximate analytic expansions of solution to the epidemic virus transmission population dynamic system, using the homotopic mapping method, we can also execute the continuous analytic operations, such as the differential operation and the integral operation. Thus, we can further study the qualitative and quantitative behaviors of the human group for the infected and the susceptible population in the broken area.
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